Testing for Co‐explosive Behaviour in Financial Time Series
نویسندگان
چکیده
This article proposes a test to determine if two price series that each contain an explosive autoregressive regime consistent with the presence of bubble are related in sense linear combination them is integrated order zero. We refer such phenomenon as ‘co-explosive behaviour’, and propose based on stationarity testing framework. The allows episode one lead (or lag) other by number time periods. establish asymptotic properties statistic wild bootstrap procedure for obtaining critical values robust heteroskedasticity. Simulations show proposed has good finite sample size power performance. An empirical application detect whether co-explosive behaviour exists among set precious non-ferrous metals presented.
منابع مشابه
Machine learning algorithms for time series in financial markets
This research is related to the usefulness of different machine learning methods in forecasting time series on financial markets. The main issue in this field is that economic managers and scientific society are still longing for more accurate forecasting algorithms. Fulfilling this request leads to an increase in forecasting quality and, therefore, more profitability and efficiency. In this pa...
متن کاملTesting for Conditional Heteroscedasticity in Financial Time Series
In this paper we survey time series models allowing for conditional heteroscedas ticity and autoregression like AR GARCH type models These models reduce to a white noise model when some of the conditional heteroscedasticity parameters take their boundary value at zero and the autoregressive component is in fact not present We reproduce the asymptotic distribution of the pseudo log likelihood ra...
متن کاملa time-series analysis of the demand for life insurance in iran
با توجه به تجزیه و تحلیل داده ها ما دریافتیم که سطح درامد و تعداد نمایندگیها باتقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه مستقیم دارند و نرخ بهره و بار تکفل با تقاضای بیمه عمر رابطه عکس دارند
Determinism in Financial Time Series
The attractive possibility that financial indices may be chaotic has been the subject of much study. In this paper we address two specific questions: “Masked by stochasticity, do financial data exhibit deterministic nonlinearity?”, and “If so, so what?”. We examine daily returns from three financial indicators: the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the London gold fixings, and the USD-JPY exchange ...
متن کاملMining the Time Series for Financial Gain
Control charts are widely used in finding the process out of control. In the context of financial time series ,change points occurrence is dependent on the sentiments of the traders, hence identification of change point in the financial time series is generally subjective. In this information age, emphasis is on the algorithmic trading where machine has to take trading decisions. In this paper ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['0305-9049', '1468-0084']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12487